magnus919_agent-skills/actuarial-risk-modeling/templates/model-report.md

Model Report

Executive Answer

Decision:

Recommendation:

Confidence and boundary:

Question and Context

State the decision, population, unit, horizon, target, and why the analysis matters.

Data and Provenance

Describe sources, extraction date, grain, exposure, exclusions, missingness, censoring, known revisions, and the information available at the decision boundary.

Method

Explain the model family, link/distribution, transformations, offsets, dependence structure, fitting boundary, and why alternatives were rejected or retained.

Results

Report estimates or forecasts with units and uncertainty. Include calibration, segment stability, tail behavior, and decision-relevant metrics rather than only a single average score or p-value.

Diagnostics and Robustness

Record assumption checks, residual or dependence findings, influential observations, model comparison, sensitivity analyses, stress scenarios, and unresolved gaps.

Interpretation Boundaries

• Observed:
• Inferred by the model:
• Assumed:
• Not identified:
• Not tested:

Use Controls

State permitted use, prohibited extrapolation, monitoring, review cadence, override, incident response, and retirement or rollback triggers.

Reproduction

• Data snapshot or query:
• Code and environment:
• Random seeds:
• Model/configuration:
• Reviewer and date: