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Magnus HedemarkandGitHub f9db3dbe4b fix(calculator): honest burn-multiple and runway labels, surface model assumptions (#274 )

* fix(calculator): honest burn-multiple and runway labels, surface model assumptions

- Burn Multiple now reports Graham's metric (net burn / net new ARR);
  the net burn / MRR ratio is reported separately as Burn to Revenue.
  The qualifier (efficient/healthy/warning/critical) is derived from the
  real burn multiple, so DEAD verdicts no longer print 'efficient'.
- ALIVE verdicts no longer print a misleading 'Runway: 120 months'
  (projection cap); output now shows 'Projected cash-out' with 'none
  within the 10-year projection' when the company never runs out.
- Model assumptions (fixed/variable burn split, variable burn ratio,
  growth decay, projection cap, safety buffer) are now surfaced in the
  human report and in JSON model_assumptions.
- SKILL.md: fix dead paulgraham.com/default.html source URL to aord.html;
  update output-field docs and examples to real model output.
- Add regression tests (tests/integration/test_default_alive.py).

Fixes #272
Fixes #273

* docs(calculator): add When Not to Use boundary (validator requirement)

2026-08-04 11:30:05 -04:00

evals

feat: run isolated paired candidate and baseline skill evaluations (#133 )

2026-07-24 23:12:44 -04:00

references

Add yc-default-alive-calculator and yc-weekly-growth-compass skills

2026-06-13 14:53:50 -04:00

scripts

fix(calculator): honest burn-multiple and runway labels, surface model assumptions (#274 )

2026-08-04 11:30:05 -04:00

README.md

Add human-focused README.md to every skill and bundle directory

2026-07-09 22:30:12 -04:00

SKILL.md

fix(calculator): honest burn-multiple and runway labels, surface model assumptions (#274 )

2026-08-04 11:30:05 -04:00

README.md

Default Alive / Default Dead Calculator

Evaluate whether a startup is on a trajectory to profitability before running out of cash. Paul Graham's Y Combinator framework as a deterministic CLI tool.

Why Install This Skill

When your agent loads this skill, it can run the single most important startup financial diagnostic. That means:

Compute default alive/dead status — will revenue reach profitability before cash runs out?
Calculate burn multiple — net burn vs net new ARR (the key efficiency metric)
Month-by-month projection — see the runway month by month
Identify levers — what changes would flip DEAD to ALIVE
Actionable verdict — ALIVE / DEAD / MARGINAL with next-step guidance

What You Get

Directory	Purpose
`SKILL.md`	Framework explanation, quick heuristic, full script usage
`scripts/default-alive.py`	Deterministic CLI calculator — Python 3.9+ with zero external dependencies

Quick Start

python3 scripts/default-alive.py --revenue 10000 --burn 50000 --cash 500000 --growth 0.05

Triggers

Load this when founders ask about runway, burn rate, default alive status, whether they need to raise money, or financial sustainability analysis.

Requirements

Python 3.9+ with standard library only (no external dependencies).