magnus919_agent-skills/ai-operating-economics/templates/ai-initiative-evidence-record.md

AI Initiative Evidence Record

Decision header

• Initiative:
• Workflow:
• Population and scope:
• Intervention mode: assist / recommend / route / execute / replace
• Decision sought: scale / constrain / redesign / hold / retire / exception
• Accountable decision owner:
• Review date or trigger:
• Record version:

Value hypothesis

For [population] doing [workflow], [intervention] will change [outcome] by [direction/range] without exceeding [countermetric boundary], at [full cost boundary], compared with [baseline], over [period].

• Hypothesis status: supported / weakened / refuted / unresolved
• Expected benefit:
• Enabled capacity:
• Operational benefit:
• Realized economic or mission benefit:
• Benefit realization mechanism:
• Human-control boundary:
• Authority proposed for next slice:

Evidence comparison

• Baseline:
• Comparison design:
• Treatment period:
• Comparison period:
• Inclusion and exclusion rules:
• Known selection effects:
• Concurrent changes:
• Quality measurement limitations:
• Statistical or causal analysis owner:

Claim	Evidence class	Source and scope	What it supports	What it does not support	Open challenge	Permitted interpretation
	observed / causal / inferred / vendor-reported / asserted / normative

Outcome and countermetrics

Metric	Type	Definition and denominator	Baseline	Observed	Target/boundary	Owner	Evidence source
	primary / leading / countermetric / adoption

Segment review

Slice	Adoption or exposure	Outcome	Quality/countermetric	New burden or benefit	Decision implication

Slices not available and why:

Cost boundary

Billing truth

• Provider/infrastructure source:
• Billing period and version:
• Reconciliation status:

Allocated cost

• Allocation target:
• Shared-cost rule:
• Allocation owner:

Economic cost

• Meaningful unit:
• Model/inference:
• Tools and APIs:
• Retrieval/storage/networking:
• Human review and exception handling:
• Incremental capacity:
• Engineering, evaluation, observability, governance, training, support, and exit:
• Fixed, variable, step-function, avoided, transferred, and uncertain costs:
• Calculation and allocation method:
• Range or sensitivity:

Findings and gaps

Supported findings

Unresolved or conflicting findings

Missing evidence

Gap	Why it matters	Owner	Next evidence	Due date or trigger

Governance evidence packet

• Intended use and risk tier:
• System/model/prompt/policy/tool/provider/version inventory:
• Acceptable-use, refusal, escalation, and human-oversight rules:
• Pre-deployment evaluation and release threshold:
• Third-party/provider assessment and contractual evidence:
• Incident, override, and near-miss record:
• Change/revalidation trigger:
• Retention, dependency, leakage, user-impact, and decommissioning plan:

Decision and controls

• Disposition:
• Scope of approval:
• Authority limit:
• Budget or quota limit:
• Human review or escalation rule:
• Stop trigger:
• Rollback, containment, or retirement path:
• Exception approver, if applicable:
• Revisit condition:

Learning closure

• Expected versus observed outcome:
• Expected versus observed cost:
• Countermetric and subgroup result:
• Incidents, overrides, or near misses:
• Changes since prior record:
• Hypothesis update:
• Follow-up artifact or owner: