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Magnus HedemarkGitHubusername <username>factory-droid[bot] <138933559+factory-droid[bot]@users.noreply.github.com>Introduce the product-roadmapping-and-portfolio skill for outcome-based sequencing and strategic-bet management. Covers Now/Next/Later views, continue/pause/kill/revisit criteria, capacity allocation, dependency and confidence mapping, scenario planning, stakeholder narratives, and roadmap review cadences. Routes tactical prioritization (RICE, MoSCoW, Kano, OST) to their canonical owners in product-methodology and product-strategy. Includes: - SKILL.md with core methodology, loading guide, and routing table - README.md with human-facing overview and trigger guidance - 5 reference files (outcome roadmapping, strategic bets, dependency and confidence view, scenario comparison, roadmap review cadence) - 1 discovery brief reconciling duplicated framework references - 3 fillable templates (outcome roadmap, bet record, review record) - evals/evals.json with 5 schema-valid cases covering competing bets, dependency invalidation, low-confidence opportunity, capacity shortfall, and stop-bet-with-evidence Closes #189 Co-authored-by: username <username> Co-authored-by: factory-droid[bot] <138933559+factory-droid[bot]@users.noreply.github.com>
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Strategic Bets
Define and manage strategic bets with explicit confidence, risk, dependencies, and criteria.
Bet Record
- Identity: name, owner, outcome hypothesis
- Evidence & Confidence: High/Medium/Low with explicit rationale
- Risk: value, usability, feasibility, business viability (H/M/L each)
- Dependencies: internal, external, shared-capacity
- Capacity: direct + indirect + ongoing (team-weeks)
- Criteria: continue, pause, kill, revisit — mandatory for Now bets
Portfolio Comparison
Present dimensions side-by-side (alignment, confidence, impact, capacity, risk, time-to-evidence). No composite score — route to product-methodology for RICE.
Lifecycle
IDENTIFIED (Later) → VALIDATED (Next) → COMMITTED (Next) → ACTIVE (Now) → EVALUATED → {CONTINUE, PAUSE, KILL}
Anti-Patterns
No kill criteria → document them. Confidence without rationale → cite evidence. No pause criteria → define them. Composite scoring → present separately. No owner → assign one.